One thing we could say about the analysts on BridgeBio Pharma, Inc. (NASDAQ:BBIO) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
After the downgrade, the consensus from BridgeBio Pharma's 18 analysts is for revenues of US$190m in 2025, which would reflect a not inconsiderable 13% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Losses are supposed to balloon 52% to US$3.52 per share. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$230m and US$3.11 per share in losses. Ergo, there's been a clear change in sentiment, with the analysts administering a notable cut to next year's revenue estimates, while at the same time increasing their loss per share forecasts.
Check out our latest analysis for BridgeBio Pharma
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 10% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 38% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 21% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - BridgeBio Pharma is expected to lag the wider industry.
The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that BridgeBio Pharma's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After a cut like that, investors could be forgiven for thinking analysts are a lot more bearish on BridgeBio Pharma, and a few readers might choose to steer clear of the stock.
After a downgrade like this, it's pretty clear that previous forecasts were too optimistic. What's more, we've spotted several possible issues with BridgeBio Pharma's business, like dilutive stock issuance over the past year. Learn more, and discover the 2 other risks we've identified, for free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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