【穆迪分析：日本央行今年是否加息已从“何时加”变成“会不会加”】金十数据5月1日讯，穆迪分析经济学家斯蒂芬·安格林克表示，尽管日本央行在过去一年中不断对外释放乐观信号，称经济正在改善，但实际数据却并未支撑这一说法。此次央行下调了对GDP和通胀的预测，并指出下行风险仍然存在，这一政策基调的转变尤为引人关注。不过，这并不意味着日本央行已经结束加息周期。核心通胀仍具黏性，若不是目前国际贸易局势存在高度不确定性，央行可能早已再次加息。至于下一次加息的时间点则难以确定。如果日元贬值、通胀上升或薪资增长出现明显改善，年内仍有加息可能；否则，更有可能将加息推迟至明年甚至后年，具体还要看全球贸易战的发展态势。
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