Guoquan Food (Shanghai) (SEHK:2517) Valuation After Optimistic 2025 Growth Outlook And Store Expansion Plan

Simply Wall St.

Feb 03

Guoquan Food (Shanghai) (SEHK:2517) has issued an optimistic outlook for 2025, citing expectations of robust revenue and net profit growth as it targets a network of more than 11,500 stores across ...

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This suggests momentum has been solid as the market reacts to store expansion and margin focused...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK1132":"食品零售","02517":"锅圈"},"translate_title":"锅圈食品（上海）（SEHK：2517）乐观的2025年增长前景和门店扩张计划后的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"02517":0.9,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Guoquan Food (Shanghai) (SEHK:2517) has issued an optimistic outlook for 2025, citing expectations of robust revenue and net profit growth as it targets a network of more than 11,500 stores across China. See our latest analysis for Guoquan Food (Shanghai). The stock’s recent move to HK$4.3 comes with a 1 month share price return of 21.81% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 136.52%. This suggests momentum has been solid as the market reacts to store expansion and margin focused execution. If Guoquan Food’s growth story has caught your attention, it might be a good moment to broaden your watchlist and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Guoquan Food trading at HK$4.30, an implied intrinsic discount of about 47% and a price target gap of roughly 15% raise a key question for investors: is there still a buying opportunity here, or is the market already pricing in future growth? AdvertisementPrice to Earnings of 30.7x: Is it justified? On our data, Guoquan Food (Shanghai) screens as good value against its close peers but looks expensive relative to the broader Asian consumer retailing group on a P/E basis. The P/E multiple compares the share price to earnings per share and is often used for consumer companies where profit generation is already established. At a P/E of 30.7x, investors are effectively paying a higher price per unit of current earnings than the wider Asian consumer retailing industry average of 16.8x, while still paying less than the peer group average of 53.9x. This split picture suggests the market is putting a premium on Guoquan Food’s earnings compared to the general industry, while still discounting it versus closer peers that trade on much richer multiples. Our estimated fair P/E of 25.7x is lower than the current 30.7x, which points to a valuation level the market could potentially move towards if sentiment cools or expectations are reassessed. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Result: Price-to-Earnings of 30.7x (OVERVALUED) However, the story could be tested if rapid store expansion strains margins, or if consumer demand for at home meal products softens more than expected. Find out about the key risks to this Guoquan Food (Shanghai) narrative. Another View: DCF Points to Undervaluation If you look beyond the 30.7x P/E, our DCF model paints a different picture. With Guoquan Food at HK$4.30 and an estimated future cash flow value of HK$8.07, the shares screen as undervalued, which sits awkwardly against the earlier conclusion of an expensive earnings multiple. Which story do you lean toward? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 2517 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Guoquan Food (Shanghai) for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 889 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Guoquan Food (Shanghai) Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to rely on your own work, you can review the data and shape a full thesis in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Guoquan Food (Shanghai) research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Guoquan Food is on your radar, do not stop there. Use the screener to spot other opportunities that fit your style before the crowd catches on.  Spot potential value candidates by checking out these 889 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that line up with discounted cash flow estimates. Capture growth themes in technology by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence trends. Strengthen your income watchlist by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}