Option Focus | Palantir’s $3.71 Million Long-Dated Put Buy Signals Bearish Caution, While a $1.93 Million Double Call Sale Caps Upside Expectations

Option Witch
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Palantir Technologies closed at USD 122.26, down 0.60%.

Unusual options activity flashed conflicting signals on Thursday, headlined by a $3.71 million long-dated put purchase that points to bearish caution, countered by a $1.93 million double call sale that explicitly caps upside expectations. The large-trade tape reveals a battleground where institutional players are actively paying up for multi-year downside protection while simultaneously selling premium to harvest income from an elevated volatility environment.

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Options Indicators

PLTR’s implied volatility is 71.72%, and with an IV percentile of 90.84%, current option volatility sits in an elevated zone, indicating options are priced expensively relative to their own historical range. The IV/HV ratio of 1.48 further suggests implied volatility is running well above realized volatility, showing the options market is embedding a sizable premium for future movement. In this setup, outright option buying faces a richer premium environment, while premium-selling structures or defined-risk spreads may offer a more efficient way to express a view. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.94.

Large Trades

A PUT buy worth $3.71 million was the largest displayed trade, with 1,300 contracts of the December 17, 2027 $120.00 put purchased at a premium of $28.55 while PLTR was trading around $122.26. That strike sat slightly out of the money at the time, making this a bearish downside-positioning trade that seeks protection or profit from a future decline below the strike over a long-dated horizon. Because the buyer paid premium upfront for downside exposure, the transaction signals a meaningful willingness to spend capital on extended bearish positioning rather than short-term tactical hedging alone.

A net-credit call combination worth $1.93 million was the other displayed large trade, structured as the sale of 1,999 August 7, 2026 $125.00 calls and the sale of 1,999 August 7, 2026 $130.00 calls, both out of the money versus the $122.26 reference stock price. As a same-direction double call sale, the strategy collected premium and reflects a range-bound to mildly bearish view, with the investment objective centered on income generation and the expectation that upside will remain limited into expiration. Using the provided legs, the strategy brought in a net premium received of $1.93 million, since both option legs were sold and no long option cost offset that inflow.

Overall sentiment in PLTR large trades was marginally bullish, but only by a very small edge, which points more to a balanced and contested positioning backdrop than to a strong directional conviction. The flow shows both meaningful downside protection or bearish speculation and premium-selling structures that cap upside expectations, while the broader large-trade mix still leans slightly positive on aggregate. The conclusion is that institutional sentiment appears cautiously bullish overall, but with clear hesitation and substantial respect for near- to medium-term volatility and upside resistance.

Strategy Reference

For traders seeking income with a low probability of assignment, selling the OTM $130.00 call in a nearer-term expiration allows harvesting elevated IV while keeping above the sold-call zone; those preferring a defined-risk spread to reduce margin could consider a bear call spread using the $125.00/$130.00 strikes.

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