The Trend of Gold Repatriation Continues Unabated

Deep News
06/30

The trend of nations repatriating their gold reserves, which began over a decade ago, is persisting as geopolitical anxieties have become a major "grey rhino" threat to the global economy, exposing cracks in the post-war reserve system that has endured for decades.

Recent data from the World Gold Council indicates that over the past 12 months, 19% of central banks have increased the proportion of gold held domestically or diversified their storage locations, a significant jump from just 7% the previous year. Concurrently, the proportion of central banks storing gold at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has fallen from 17% to 14%, with a similar decline seen in London-based custody. By the first half of 2026, cumulative gold repatriated from vaults in the U.S. and U.K. over the past decade is approaching 6,900 tonnes.

Following World War II, nearly 60 countries stored thousands of tonnes of gold in vaults at the New York Fed and the Bank of England in London. While sporadic repatriations began in 2013, the process accelerated dramatically after the 2022 incident involving frozen foreign exchange assets abroad, leading to a full-scale push for "gold to return home."

Several key factors are driving this strategic shift. Major geopolitical conflicts raise the risk of sovereign foreign assets, including gold stored in the U.S. and U.K., being frozen or subject to political restrictions on withdrawal. The rapid expansion of U.S. debt and a weakening U.S. dollar credit profile are compelling central banks to steadily increase holdings of physical gold and adjust their storage strategies accordingly. Furthermore, many central banks are actively restructuring their reserve systems to reduce reliance on U.S. Treasury bonds and dollar-denominated assets, making gold localization a long-term strategic goal. This movement has evolved into a strategic decision deeply intertwined with financial sovereignty and the intensifying geopolitical fragmentation.

Looking at recent developments, France completed the full transfer of its gold from U.S. custody to domestic vaults in January of this year, effectively clearing its American-held reserves. Through market-based operations, France managed this process without triggering diplomatic friction and even realized substantial paper gains due to the surge in gold prices during this period. Germany, another major European gold holder, pioneered the modern repatriation wave starting in 2013. By 2020, it had increased the proportion of gold stored domestically to 50%. However, Germany still retains over 1,000 tonnes (approximately 37% of its total) in New York, with the remainder in London. Central and Eastern European nations like Poland, Hungary, Austria, and the Czech Republic have all reduced their overseas gold storage ratios to varying degrees, prioritizing the placement of strategic reserves in national vaults. Some countries have completed the full withdrawal of their overseas gold, completely severing ties with the New York and London custody centers. In Asia, India's proportion of gold held overseas plummeted from 55% in 2023 to just 22% by March 2026.

Nevertheless, repatriating physical gold originally stored in the U.S. and U.K. faces significant practical hurdles.

Elevated Approval Barriers for Withdrawals

The Federal Reserve has extended approval timelines for gold withdrawal applications from countries outside its core alliances. For some batches, it permits only ledger verification while refusing physical inspection of the bullion. Nations and regions including Germany, Central and Eastern European countries, and India have experienced noticeably prolonged application cycles. Some countries with smaller storage volumes have adopted compromise solutions, transferring gold from New York and London to vaults in Singapore, Dubai, or Shanghai's gold delivery warehouses. This "departure from the West, neutral storage" approach allows them to circumvent the dollar settlement system.

Substantial Transportation Costs and Security Risks

Transoceanic air transport requires expensive insurance and multi-national security escorts, while land and sea routes are vulnerable to disruption by geopolitical events.

Significant Liquidity Trade-offs

Once gold leaves the New York and London vaults, it becomes considerably less convenient for trading in international spot and futures markets.

Analysts suggest that this trend does not necessarily signal a decline in the status of New York and London as trading hubs, but it does reflect a profound shift in how nations perceive and prioritize financial security.

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