Spot gold exhibited narrow-range fluctuations during Tuesday's Asian session (July 15), hovering near $3,348.22 per ounce. This follows Monday's dramatic roller-coaster performance where prices soared to $3,374.78 – a three-week peak since June 23 – after former President Trump announced new EU tariffs effective August 1. Bullish investors initially cheered the surge, though gold now navigates fierce crosscurrents at a critical juncture. Geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties continue supporting prices, while dollar strength and rising Treasury yields exert downward pressure. Market participants should monitor four pivotal indicators: U.S. inflation metrics, Federal Reserve policy signals, trade negotiation developments, and geopolitical shifts. Today's spotlight falls squarely on the U.S. June CPI release.
Technically, gold's failure to sustain highs signals persistent bearish pressure. Short-term corrections appear likely unless prices reclaim the upper Bollinger Band. While trading above the $3,330 moving average suggests residual bullish sentiment that could limit downside potential, this positioning doesn't guarantee imminent recovery. The 4-hour chart reveals ongoing corrective patterns, with prices testing the middle Bollinger Band support. Consolidation within moving average channels may intensify – a constructive development allowing previous corrections to digest. However, prolonged absence of upward momentum could trigger fresh retracements.
Resistance clusters near $3,358 with critical defense at $3,363. Failure to breach this barrier may extend declines toward $3,340-$3,330. A decisive breakout above $3,363 would justify long entries on pullbacks to $3,360. Support emerges at $3,330 for potential long positions, though breakdowns below $3,324 warrant short setups near $3,330 rebounds.
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