Option Focus | Palantir’s Bullish Conviction Surges as Trader Pays $0.64 Million for Out-of-the-Money Calls Expiring 2026, Betting on Extended Upside

Option Witch
07/30

Palantir Technologies Inc. ended the latest session at $123.00, down 0.43%.

A notable surge in bullish conviction emerged from the options market as a trader committed $0.64 million to out-of-the-money calls expiring in 2026. This single, aggressive directional bet dominated the session’s large-trade flow, positioning for prolonged upside far beyond the current price level and signaling strong confidence in the stock’s long-term trajectory.

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Options Indicators

PLTR’s implied volatility is 74.75%, and with an IV percentile of 96.81%, current option volatility sits in a clearly elevated zone, indicating that options are priced expensively versus their own historical range. The IV/HV ratio of 1.35 further suggests implied volatility is running above realized volatility, meaning the options market is assigning a sizable premium to future price movement expectations. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.72.

Large Trades

A CALL buy worth $0.64 million stood out as the key large trade, with 1,281 contracts purchased at the 123.0 strike expiring on 2026-07-31. With the stock reference price also at 123.0, this contract was classified as out-of-the-money, making it a straightforward bullish directional bet with meaningful upside leverage. The buyer is effectively positioning for PLTR to rise above the strike and continue higher over the life of the option, suggesting a willingness to pay premium for upside exposure rather than pursuing income collection or downside protection.

Overall sentiment from the full large-trade flow was clearly bullish, with total bullish premium of $0.64 million versus bearish activity of $0.00 million, leaving a net difference of $0.64 million to the bullish side. That gives the large-trade picture a decisively positive tone, especially since the only notable block was an outright call purchase rather than a neutral or hedged structure. In short, the large-trade flow points to bullish directional conviction in PLTR.

Strategy Reference

For traders who share the bullish outlook but prefer a defined-risk approach, a bull call spread—such as buying the 2026-07-31 123.0 call and selling a higher strike like the 160.0 call—can reduce the net premium outlay and lower the breakeven point, while capping maximum profit if the stock stages a rally.

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