Based on recent candlestick patterns, gold closed with a small bullish candle on May 11th, featuring a lower shadow, which indicates decent support at lower levels. The current key resistance for gold is concentrated in the $4,750 to $4,770 per ounce range. This area represents a dense trading zone from a previous rally and subsequent pullback, presenting significant selling pressure. On the support side, focus is on the $4,650 to $4,660 per ounce range. Specifically, the $4,650 level is a strong support zone formed by the lower channel line and prior lows. If this level holds, gold is likely to maintain a volatile but slightly bullish trend.
Currently, gold is fluctuating repeatedly within the $4,640 to $4,760 per ounce range. There is a high probability of a double-top pattern forming in the $4,765 to $4,772 per ounce area, which is suppressing upward price movement. The key $4,650 level, supported by short-term moving averages, has repeatedly prevented further declines and prompted rebounds. The MACD indicator is hovering near the zero line, with momentum bars alternating, indicating a lack of clear short-term direction. The KDJ indicator shows frequent crossovers between golden and death crosses, reflecting intense battle between bulls and bears. On the 1-hour chart, after testing the $4,638 level yesterday, gold rebounded quickly. It rose consecutively after midnight, closing above $4,700, returning to the consolidation range. In today's early session, focus will be on the strength and sustainability of the rebound for a potential long position, while looking to short near the upper resistance levels.
Trading Recommendations: Consider going long on gold between $4,713 and $4,703, with a stop-loss below $4,695, targeting $4,730 to $4,740. Alternatively, consider shorting in the $4,730 to $4,740 region, aiming for a pullback to $4,700 to $4,680.