Dubai Crude Nears $100 as Asian Refiners Scramble for Supply

Deep News
2小时前

Supply constraints in the Middle East are intensifying as Asian refineries accelerate their crude purchases, pushing the Dubai benchmark toward the $100-per-barrel threshold. With transit volumes through the Strait of Hormuz remaining at depressed levels and Saudi exports hitting their lowest point since 2017, buyers across Asia are simultaneously boosting imports from Brazil, Canada, Argentina, and Russia, fueling a sharp rise in competition for alternative barrels.

The scramble for oil in Asian markets is heating up as Middle Eastern supply tightens further. With buyers ramping up their purchases, regional crude prices are climbing rapidly, and the supply stress is now showing up clearly in pricing trends. On September 5, several unnamed traders told Bloomberg that strong demand from Asian refiners for Middle Eastern crude is driving a swift ascent in related benchmark prices. The UAE's Murban futures are currently quoted at $106.10 per barrel, while DME Oman crude, which targets the Asian market, is trading at $99.18 per barrel, closing in on the $100 mark.

The standoff in Middle East conflicts, ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and Saudi oil exports dropping to their lowest since 2017 are all compounding the pressure. Some cargoes have also faced delivery delays, being postponed from August to September or even October, which is further tightening supply and escalating the buying urgency in Asian markets.

Asian refiners are accelerating their procurement, intensifying competition for alternative supplies. According to Bloomberg, major refiners such as Indian Oil, along with refineries in South Korea and Japan, are emerging as the primary drivers of increased Middle Eastern crude purchases this cycle. Meanwhile, crude transit volumes through the Strait of Hormuz remain significantly below normal levels, averaging just about 6 million to 8 million barrels per day over the past week.

Ship-tracking firms Kpler and Vortexa report that Saudi oil exports have also dropped to their lowest level since 2017. With supply tightening, Asian buyers are diversifying their sources. While buyers in India are increasing imports of Brazilian, Canadian, and Argentine crude, they are also securing more Russian oil. Competition for Russia's ESPO crude is particularly intense, with premiums for related cargoes having surged to record highs, according to Bloomberg. This signals that with traditional supply routes disrupted, Asian refiners are now locked in a fiercer battle for the limited pool of substitute barrels.

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