On August 27, HP Inc declined 9.01% overnight, trading at $27.94/share, with turnover of $17.7 thousand. Despite reporting Q3 results and full-year guidance above consensus, investors focused on deteriorating PC demand fundamentals and near-term margin headwinds.
HP posted Q3 revenue of $15.7 billion, up approximately 13% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $0.83 including a $0.11 per share tariff refund benefit. Full-year adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $3.19-$3.29, above the FactSet consensus of $3.05. However, the PC segment revealed a critical disconnect: while revenue grew 18%, unit shipments fell 16%, indicating growth was driven entirely by price increases rather than genuine demand recovery.
The CFO projected H2 PC total addressable market to decline 15-19% year-over-year, warned that Q4 revenue would fall below seasonal norms due to commodity-driven pricing pressures, and noted rising memory and storage costs would further compress operating margins — particularly in the Personal Systems division. Morgan Stanley had already cut its target price from $19 to $17 ahead of the report, citing elevated buy-side expectations and valuation pressure.
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