Earning Preview: Uber’s revenue is expected to increase by 21.70%, and institutional views are constructive

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Abstract

Uber Technologies, Inc. will release its quarterly results on February 04, 2026, Pre-Market. Expectations center on top-line resilience, margin stability, and EPS trajectory, with market participants watching execution in core Mobility and Delivery segments, alongside discipline in cost and capital allocation.

Market Forecast

Consensus points to Uber Technologies, Inc. generating revenue of $14.32 billion this quarter, reflecting estimated year-over-year growth of 21.70%. Forecasts imply EBIT of $1.83 billion, and adjusted EPS of $0.80, with estimate year-over-year growth of 52.21% for EBIT and 59.87% for EPS. The outlook embeds a steady gross profit margin framework and an improving net profit profile; specific forecast margins are not disclosed. The company’s main business appears poised for balanced growth in Mobility and Delivery, with a focus on scale efficiencies and cross-platform engagement. The most promising segment is Vehicles Rental, supported by broad network effects and ongoing product optimizations; revenue in the latest period was $7.68 billion with a mix shift that supports continued expansion year-over-year.

Last Quarter Review

Uber Technologies, Inc. reported revenue of $13.47 billion last quarter, a gross profit margin of 34.33%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of $6.63 billion, a net profit margin of 49.20%, and adjusted EPS of $3.11, with year-over-year adjusted EPS growth of 159.17%. A key highlight was a substantial non-operating and tax-effect benefit that elevated GAAP profitability against a backdrop of steady operating leverage. Main business highlights included Vehicles Rental revenue of $7.68 billion, Delivery revenue of $4.48 billion, and Freight revenue of $1.31 billion, indicating a diversified revenue base with continued momentum in Mobility and a stabilizing contribution from Delivery; specific segment year-over-year figures were not disclosed.

Current Quarter Outlook

Mobility (Core Rides)

The Mobility engine remains Uber Technologies, Inc.’s revenue anchor this quarter, with network density and product breadth underpinning demand. Management’s operating rhythm points to continued take-rate discipline and targeted incentive spend, helping protect contribution margins even as seasonal variability plays through key markets. A sustained recovery in urban mobility and airport rides, coupled with penetration into new cities and deeper engagement among cohorts, should keep gross bookings expanding in the double-digit range, supporting the $14.32 billion consolidated revenue forecast. Operationally, improvements in marketplace matching and wait time reductions can translate into marginal cost efficiencies, partially offsetting macro headwinds such as fuel price fluctuations or regulatory fee structures. Competitive intensity from peers is persistent, but Uber’s scale advantages and broader platform utility are expected to contain churn and sustain frequency.

Delivery

Delivery continues to evolve from pandemic-era surges to a normalized growth profile characterized by improved unit economics and cross-sell synergies with Mobility. The segment’s pricing algorithms, basket optimization, and subscription-enhanced engagement reinforce the path to durable profitability. As merchants adopt expanded logistics and advertising offerings, take rates benefit from higher-value services embedded in the Delivery ecosystem. Near-term dynamics include the balance between promotional intensity and customer loyalty retention, where product enhancements such as time guarantees and transparency of fees aim to lift conversion without sacrificing margin. The forecasted consolidated EBIT of $1.83 billion implies ongoing segment contribution from Delivery, aided by logistics density and incremental ad revenue, though the pace of expansion could vary across regions based on competition and regulatory oversight.

Vehicles Rental (Most Promising Growth Driver)

Vehicles Rental stands out as the business with substantial revenue scale and room for structural growth, with last quarter revenue of $7.68 billion. The segment benefits from demand elasticity across geographies, leveraging asset-light partnerships and flexible fleet arrangements. Continued technology integration into fleet management and driver onboarding can reduce downtime, enhance utilization, and push throughput higher. The segment’s growth potential rests on optimizing the supply of vehicles relative to driver demand while managing cost curves that include financing, insurance, and maintenance. A measured expansion strategy and disciplined pricing should allow Rental to serve as a margin-accretive contributor, especially in markets where regulatory frameworks favor platform-based vehicle access solutions. Over the medium term, diversification into adjacent services can unlock incremental revenue streams and strengthen resilience against cyclical dips.

Key Stock Price Drivers This Quarter

The stock’s near-term trajectory is likely to respond to three interlocking factors: delivery on margin guidance, clarity around adjusted EPS quality, and signals about capital allocation. Investors will parse the degree to which gross margin, at 34.33% in the last quarter, can hold or improve against seasonal cost pressures and investment into growth initiatives. EPS quality matters: last quarter’s adjusted EPS of $3.11 benefited from unusual items; this quarter, the market will watch for normalization aligned with the $0.80 forecast, assessing the sustainability of operating profit rather than one-off gains. Lastly, capital allocation discipline—balancing reinvestment for growth with shareholder-return mechanisms—remains central to sentiment, especially as free cash flow trends intersect with expansion in Mobility and Delivery and the stabilization in Freight.

Analyst Opinions

Institutional commentary in recent weeks has skewed constructive on Uber Technologies, Inc., with a majority of analyst previews highlighting durable revenue growth and improving profitability into the February 04, 2026 print. Several notable research desks point to consistent execution in core Mobility, persistent engagement advantages across the consumer base, and improved monetization in Delivery, aligning with the consensus revenue estimate of $14.32 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.80. The bullish case emphasizes leverage from scale, prudent cost controls, and cross-segment synergies that sustain net profit momentum without overreliance on incentive spend. Analysts also note that last quarter’s outsized GAAP profit likely contained non-core elements, and they are focused on operational EPS normalization; in this context, the projected EBIT of $1.83 billion and year-over-year growth trends offer assurance that underlying performance is tracking ahead of cycle. The prevailing view expects further advancements in marketplace efficiency and ad monetization, while acknowledging that regulatory and competitive variables could modulate the slope of expansion. Overall, the majority stance leans positive, anticipating that Uber’s print will validate ongoing margin resilience and support revenue growth toward the mid-twenties percentage range year-over-year.

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