Wall Street Veteran Yardeni: Inflation Cooling on the Horizon, 5% US Treasuries Look 'Very Attractive'

Stock News
11/05

Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, stated that with inflation expected to cool, the US 10-year Treasury yield around 5% appears "very attractive."

"To buy 10-year Treasuries at a 5% yield, you have to be relatively optimistic that productivity will drive inflation down, and I think that will happen," Yardeni said in an interview. "I think a 5% yield is very attractive."

Yardeni's comments came as US Treasuries were poised for a second consecutive day of gains, following a sweeping Democratic victory in the midterm elections that fueled expectations that the Trump administration's tax and spending plans could be constrained. Yields across all maturities in the world's largest bond market fell by at least four basis points, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield dropping to 4.84%, the lowest level since September 10.

Yardeni is a Wall Street strategist known for popularizing the "Fed Model" framework for stock valuation, which compares the forward earnings yield of the S&P 500 with the US 10-year Treasury yield. He said interest rates are now "back to long-term normal levels."

"The inflation outlook for the next decade is roughly between 2% and 2.5%," he said. "At the same time, if you can get a 2.5% real return, that's actually quite good in the bond market."

He believes the 10-year Treasury yield will fluctuate between 4% and 5%, a range closer to typical levels seen before the global financial crisis.

免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。

热议股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10