Option Focus | Tesla’s $780K Synthetic Put and $4.09M ITM Call Buy Reveal a Battle Between Bearish Institutions and Bullish Long-Term Bets

Option Witch
09/26

Tesla closed at $372.11, down 1.54%.

Large options flow showed a clear split in institutional sentiment. The largest featured trade was a $780,000 net-credit synthetic put, combining short $450.00 calls and long $350.00 puts expiring in December 2027. On the other side, a $4.09 million in-the-money call purchase for October 2026 reflected a long-term bullish bet. The simultaneous appearance of bearish synthetic exposure and bullish premium buying suggests institutions are positioning for both near-term downside and eventual upside recovery in Tesla.

>>>Start OPTIONS trading & earn up to SGD 200 in rewards!

Options Indicators

Tesla’s implied volatility is 44.87%, and with an IV percentile of 10.36%, current option pricing sits on the low end of its historical range, indicating volatility is relatively subdued and options are cheaply priced rather than expensive. The IV/HV ratio of 1.04 also suggests implied volatility is only slightly above realized volatility, so option premiums appear fairly close to recent actual movement rather than showing a major volatility premium.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.85.

Large Trades

A synthetic put structure with a $780,000 net credit was the largest featured trade, pairing the sale of 2,000 TSLA December 17, 2027 $450.00 calls with the purchase of 2,000 December 17, 2027 $350.00 puts. With TSLA referenced at $372.11, the short $450.00 call was out of the money and the long $350.00 put was also out of the money, creating a clearly bearish synthetic short exposure. The trader collected premium upfront while positioning for downside in the stock over a long-dated horizon, effectively expressing a negative directional view rather than a simple volatility trade.

A call purchase worth $4.09 million was the other highlighted block, consisting of 2,913 TSLA October 2, 2026 $360.00 calls bought outright. With the stock at $372.11, this strike was in the money at the time of execution, making it a straightforward bullish position with meaningful intrinsic value already embedded. The buyer was paying up for upside participation and likely looking to maintain leveraged exposure to further gains while limiting risk to the premium spent. Overall, the large-trade flow still leans bearish: although the biggest outright premium outlay among the displayed trades was a bullish in-the-money call buy, the broader block activity was dominated by downside-oriented positioning, including the top-ranked synthetic put and multiple additional bearish or premium-selling structures, indicating that institutional sentiment remains skewed toward caution and downside risk in Tesla.

Strategy Reference

For a low assignment probability, a seller could target the October 17, 2025 $500.00 call, which is far out of the money given Tesla’s current price and the low IV percentile; alternatively, traders seeking defined risk without posting large margin could use a bear put spread such as buying the September 2025 $360.00 put and selling the September 2025 $320.00 put.

免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。

热议股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10