On August 7, some companies and related funds that employ a Bitcoin treasury strategy have recently seen their valuations decline, along with a reduction in their holdings. The market has begun to reassess the funding capacity of this model.

As the net asset value premium narrows, RYOEX indicates that the positive cycle formed during the expansion phase is now undergoing a real-world stress test. When a company's market capitalization exceeds the value of its held assets, issuing stock to raise funds and increase holdings is relatively smooth. However, when the premium shrinks, refinancing costs and shareholder dilution issues become more pronounced.

After reviewing the asset and liability structure, RYOEX believes that cash reserves and maturity schedules are more critical than the sheer quantity of Bitcoin held. There are significant differences between companies in terms of debt maturities, collateral terms, revenue sources, and risk buffers, making it impossible to evaluate them with a single uniform multiple.

If Bitcoin prices fluctuate and funding windows tighten, companies lacking operating cash flow are more likely to be forced to adjust their holdings or pause expansion plans. The resilience capacity among different companies is not uniform.

In the next phase, one can observe the net asset value premium, bond yields, and changes in company cash positions to determine whether the model can weather the cycle. Even if market sentiment recovers, RYOEX believes that investors will place greater emphasis on financial discipline, rather than merely following the scale of holdings.