Rocket Lab Q1 2025 Misses EPS Forecast, Stock Dips

Investing.com
05-09

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB), with a market capitalization of $10.4 billion, reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, posting a revenue of $122.6 million, which surpassed expectations. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) came in at a loss of $0.12, missing the forecasted loss of $0.10. Following the earnings release, Rocket Lab’s stock saw a decline of 2.82% in after-hours trading, closing at $22.449. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears overvalued compared to its Fair Value, despite showing impressive revenue growth of 78.3% over the last twelve months.

Key Takeaways

  • Rocket Lab’s Q1 2025 revenue increased by 32.1% year-over-year.

  • The company missed EPS expectations by $0.02.

  • Stock price fell 2.82% in after-hours trading.

  • Launch Services and Space Systems segments drove revenue growth.

  • The company maintains a strong backlog of $1.067 billion.

Company Performance

Rocket Lab demonstrated robust performance in Q1 2025 with a significant revenue increase of 32.1% compared to the previous year. The company’s two main segments, Launch Services and Space Systems, contributed $35.6 million and $87 million, respectively. While the EPS fell short of expectations, InvestingPro data shows the company maintains a healthy current ratio of 2.04, indicating strong liquidity. Subscribers to InvestingPro can access 13 additional key insights about Rocket Lab’s financial health and growth prospects.

Financial Highlights

  • Revenue: $122.6 million, up 32.1% year-over-year

  • EPS: -$0.12, missing the forecast of -$0.10

  • Adjusted EBITDA loss: $30 million, better than guidance

  • Cash and equivalents: $517 million

Earnings vs. Forecast

Rocket Lab’s revenue of $122.6 million exceeded the forecast of $121.49 million, marking a positive surprise. However, the EPS missed the forecast by $0.02, which may have contributed to the negative market reaction. This deviation from expectations highlights the challenges Rocket Lab faces in balancing growth and profitability.

Market Reaction

In response to the earnings report, Rocket Lab’s stock price decreased by 2.82% in after-hours trading, closing at $22.449. The stock had previously closed at $22.29, representing a 3.63% increase during regular trading hours. This volatility aligns with InvestingPro analysis, which notes high price volatility as a key characteristic. Despite recent fluctuations, the stock has delivered an impressive 463% return over the past year, with analyst price targets ranging from $14.35 to $33.00.

Outlook & Guidance

Looking ahead, Rocket Lab provided Q2 2025 revenue guidance in the range of $130 million to $140 million, indicating continued growth. The company expects gross margin expansion from its current 26.6% and is targeting a launch cadence of six launches per quarter. These initiatives reflect Rocket Lab’s strategic focus on expanding its market presence and enhancing operational efficiency. For detailed analysis of Rocket Lab’s growth trajectory and comprehensive financial metrics, investors can access the full Pro Research Report available exclusively on InvestingPro.

Executive Commentary

CEO Peter Beck emphasized the company’s leadership in the space industry, stating, "We continue to launch and book more and more Electron missions, proving we hold the keys to space with regular launch access." CFO Adam Spice highlighted the company’s growth potential, noting, "We see that trying to see which one’s gonna grow faster and move the needle the most is a great problem to have."

Risks and Challenges

  • Supply Chain Issues: Potential disruptions could impact production timelines and costs.

  • Market Saturation: Increased competition in the space industry may pressure margins.

  • Macroeconomic Pressures: Economic downturns could affect funding and demand for space services.

  • Technological Advancements: Rapid innovation requires continuous investment and adaptation.

  • Regulatory Changes: Shifts in government policies could influence market dynamics.

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