Piper Sandler: Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR.US) Has Not Reached Growth Peak, Raises Target Price to $210

Stock News
2025/10/15

Piper Sandler has raised its target price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR.US) from $182 to $210 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating on the stock. Analyst Clarke Jeffries stated that Palantir's valuation undoubtedly has no room for error, particularly if any signs of growth deceleration emerge, which would have a more pronounced impact. However, the analyst noted that Palantir's future revenue certainty is extremely high, with committed contract value exceeding $7 billion, plus approximately $4 billion in Indefinite Delivery/Indefinite Quantity (IDIQ) contract valuations. Commercial orders have achieved triple-digit growth year-to-date with accelerating momentum, while the company has an unparalleled market share opportunity within the $1 trillion U.S. defense spending.

Therefore, Palantir has not yet reached its growth peak, and currently there are no factors disrupting its growth momentum. The analyst believes the defense sector is undergoing profound transformation, shifting from expensive large assets toward flexible, low-cost strategies supported by software and unmanned systems. Jeffries stated: "We present investors with this scenario - if 0.5% of U.S. defense spending flows to Palantir, the company's overall government business could grow fourfold, yet even then, its scale would still be only 1/7th that of Lockheed Martin."

The analyst further added that in the AI era, all types of institutions, whether federal government or commercial entities, must adopt new approaches when developing applications and data infrastructure, and Palantir is a long-term beneficiary of this trend. Jeffries further pointed out: "Following significant investment in the AI Platform (AIP), we believe Palantir's commercial business is experiencing a clear inflection point, with the core driving force being market demand for rapid, transformative AI delivery. Management indicated that U.S. commercial business has an implied growth rate of 89% in the second half of this year, and in the most recent quarter, the year-over-year growth rate of remaining deal value for U.S. commercial business reached 145%. Based on these metrics, we believe Palantir's commercial business has not yet reached its growth peak."

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