Option Focus | Alphabet’s $6.52 Million Double-Call Buy Targets $350–$380 by 2026, Though a $4.69 Million Long Put Signals Lingering Downside Caution

Option Witch
07/29

Alphabet Inc. closed at USD 332.60, rising 1.85%.

Options activity was dominated by a massive $6.52 million bullish double-call purchase targeting the $350–$380 range by September 2026, signaling strong conviction for a multi-year upside breakout. However, a contemporaneous $4.69 million long put buy at the $300 strike expiring in January 2027 injected a note of caution, revealing that large traders are also hedging against a potential deep pullback even as they position for long-term gains.

>>>Click to claim your commission-free cards before trading!

Options Indicators

GOOG’s implied volatility is 32.94%, and its IV percentile is 32.67%, which places current volatility in a broadly neutral zone, though still closer to the lower end of its recent range. Combined with an IV/HV ratio of 0.85, options do not appear aggressively priced and are slightly on the cheap side relative to the stock’s realized volatility rather than reflecting a premium volatility regime. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.99.

Large Trades

A directional same-side double-call buy worth $6.52 million was the largest large trade of the day, built by buying 5,300 September 18, 2026 $350 calls and 5,300 September 18, 2026 $380 calls for a combined net debit. With GOOG referenced at $332.60, both call strikes were out of the money, making this a leveraged upside structure that expresses a bullish view with an expectation of a meaningful move higher over time. Because both legs were purchased rather than financed by a short option, the strategy is primarily a directional bet rather than premium collection, and it shows willingness to pay significant premium for convex upside exposure into longer-dated expiration.

A PUT buy worth $4.69 million was the second major trade, consisting of 3,500 January 15, 2027 $300 puts purchased outright. With the stock at $332.60, the $300 strike was out of the money at execution, so this was a downside-positioning trade that gains value if GOOG weakens meaningfully before expiration. As a single-leg long put, it represents a bearish stance or portfolio hedge, with the buyer paying premium for protection or speculative downside exposure rather than collecting income.

Overall large-trade sentiment leaned bullish, with total bullish flow of $6.52 million versus total bearish flow of $4.69 million, leaving a net difference of $1.83 million to the bullish side. The directional judgment is moderately bullish, since the largest trade was a sizable long-premium upside call combination that outweighed the notable protective or bearish put purchase. Even so, the presence of a substantial long-dated out-of-the-money put buy suggests traders are not uniformly optimistic and still see value in downside protection, so the tone is bullish overall but with clear awareness of downside risk.

Strategy Reference

Given the slightly cheap IV, a trader seeking low assignment probability could consider selling the 30-delta put, which currently sits well below the $300 strike area, or deploy a bullish put spread using the $300/$280 strikes to capitalize on the hedged sentiment with defined risk.

免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。

热议股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10