US Bond Market Rally Holds Ground After Sharp Drop in Oil Prices

Deep News
08/05

US Treasuries saw a strong surge during the early American session, fueled by a sharp decline in oil prices. The drop followed optimistic comments from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who expressed confidence in reaching a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Following the initial jump, bonds held onto their gains within a narrow trading range, while crude oil prices lingered near their daily lows. Shortly after 3:00 PM New York time, US Treasury yields approached their session troughs, with declines ranging from 4 to 6 basis points across the curve.

Medium-term maturities led the charge. The spreads between 5-year and 30-year notes, as well as between 10-year and 30-year bonds, each widened by approximately 1.5 basis points on the day. The benchmark 10-year yield settled around 4.62% late in the session, moving in line with similar moves in German and UK government bond yields.

WTI crude oil futures tumbled 5.5% to a more than three-week low, driven by growing market optimism that the Strait of Hormuz will soon reopen. This steep decline in energy prices also gave a lift to equities. The Nasdaq 100 rallied 3.5% in late trading, while the S&P 500 climbed nearly 2%, breaking above its June 2nd high.

Price action remained subdued during the afternoon session in the US. As of 3:00 PM New York time, trading volume in Treasury futures was about 10% above the 20-day average, while SOFR futures turnover ranged between 50% and 90% of normal levels.

As of 3:40 PM Eastern Time, the 2-year yield stood at 4.1959%; the 5-year yield at 4.3326%; the 10-year yield at 4.6248%; and the 30-year yield at 5.1859%. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields was 42.69 basis points, while the spread between the 5-year and 30-year yields was 85.15 basis points.

免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。

热议股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10