Option Focus | AST SpaceMobile Sees $1.8 Million Long-Dated Call Buy for 2026, Signaling Bullish Conviction Amid Elevated Volatility

Option Witch
07/21

AST SpaceMobile ended the session at $57.42, a decline of 0.66%.

Despite the slight daily pullback, significant options activity emerged, highlighted by a large, long-dated call purchase valued at $1.77 million, indicating targeted bullish positioning from sophisticated traders.

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Options Indicators

ASTS has an implied volatility of 117.17%, and with an IV percentile of 75.70%, current volatility conditions are in the elevated range, indicating that options are priced expensively relative to their own recent history. At the same time, the IV/HV ratio of 0.96 suggests implied volatility is roughly in line with realized volatility, so while premiums are rich on a percentile basis, they are not dramatically overstated versus the stock’s actual recent movement. The Call/Put volume ratio is 2.83.

Large Trades

A CALL buy worth $1.77 million was the standout large trade, consisting of 3,500 August 21, 2026 $65.00 calls purchased outright. With ASTS referenced at $57.42, the strike sat out of the money at the time of execution, making this a clearly directional bullish position that requires further upside to gain intrinsic value. The long-dated expiration gives the buyer substantial time for a bullish thesis to play out, suggesting conviction in a meaningful upside move rather than a short-term speculative punt. Strategically, this is a premium-paid upside bet, with the buyer accepting upfront cost in exchange for leveraged exposure to a potential rally above $65.00 into 2026.

Overall sentiment from all large trades was decisively bullish, with total bullish flow at $1.77 million versus bearish flow of $0.00 million, leaving a net bullish difference of $1.77 million. The directional read is clearly positive, since all meaningful large-trade activity was concentrated in outright call buying rather than hedging or premium-selling structures. That pattern points to investors positioning for upside appreciation in ASTS over a longer time horizon, reflecting constructive sentiment and willingness to pay premium for leveraged bullish exposure.

Strategy Reference

A trader looking to collect premium with a lower probability of assignment could consider selling an out-of-the-money put, such as the $45.00 strike, while those preferring defined risk and lower margin than an outright long call might look to implement a bullish call spread, for example buying the $60.00 call and selling the $75.00 call for the same expiration.

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