Haitong Securities Maintains Buy Rating on China Hongqiao with Target Price of HK$35.22

Deep News
05/13

Haitong Securities has issued a research report maintaining its forecast for China Hongqiao's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 at RMB256.25 billion, RMB254.26 billion, and RMB257.60 billion, respectively. Since 2017, the company's average price-to-earnings ratio has been around 8 times. Given its prominent high dividend payout characteristics, its scarcity among Hong Kong-listed electrolytic aluminum companies, and the recent increase in overall market risk appetite, the firm maintains a 12 times P/E multiple for 2025. Based on the Hong Kong dollar to RMB exchange rate of 0.92 as of November 18, the target price is set at HK$35.22, with a Buy rating reaffirmed.

According to an announcement on November 18, the company plans to place up to 400 million shares via a top-up placement at a price of HK$29.2 per share, representing a discount of approximately 9.6% to the previous trading day's closing price. The placement could raise up to HK$11.68 billion. The placement shares account for about 4.2% of the existing issued share capital and approximately 4.03% of the enlarged share capital. The report suggests that this placement will help optimize the company's capital structure, providing a solid foundation for the development of domestic and overseas projects. As a global leader in aluminum, with expectations of strong aluminum prices, the firm remains optimistic about the company's stable performance in 2026-2027. Additionally, the ongoing optimization of the capital structure may support the continuation of a high dividend payout policy.

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