Option Focus | Palantir’s Bull Call Spread Targets $136–$141 While Elevated IV and Bullish Flow Signal Strong Upside Conviction

Option Witch
08/04

Palantir Technologies Inc. closed at $125.65, gaining 2.10%.

Options activity surged with a lopsided bullish bias, highlighted by a multi-million dollar bull call spread targeting upside into 2026 alongside elevated implied volatility. The session’s standout trade was a $0.77 million debit spread, while a smaller bear call spread provided a counterpoint, collectively signaling strong institutional conviction for further gains in PLTR.

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Options Indicators

PLTR’s implied volatility is 73.32%, and with an IV percentile of 94.42%, current option volatility sits at a clearly elevated level relative to its own recent history, indicating that options are priced expensively rather than cheaply. The IV/HV ratio of 1.59 further shows implied volatility is running well above realized volatility, suggesting the market is embedding a sizable premium into option prices and that outright option buyers are paying up for that exposure. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.95.

Large Trades

A bull call spread with a net debit of $0.77 million stood out as one of the largest structured trades, built by buying 1,300 PLTR August 7, 2026 $136.00 calls and selling 1,300 August 7, 2026 $141.00 calls. Both strikes are currently out of the money versus the $125.65 reference stock price, making this a defined-risk bullish position that targets upside into that expiration while capping maximum profit above $141.00. Strategically, this spread reflects directional exposure with controlled cost, as the trader paid a net premium to participate in a rise in PLTR without taking on the full expense of an outright call purchase.

A bear call spread with a net credit of $0.19 million was also featured, created by selling 1,206 PLTR August 7, 2026 $150.00 calls and buying 1,206 August 7, 2026 $152.50 calls. Both options are out of the money relative to the $125.65 stock reference, and the structure is a defined-risk bearish to neutral income strategy that benefits if PLTR stays below the short $150.00 strike through expiration. By collecting premium upfront and limiting upside risk with the long $152.50 call, the trader appears to be expressing a view that the shares are unlikely to rally aggressively enough to threaten those higher strikes.

Overall sentiment across all large trades leans bullish. The flow shows more capital aligned with upside exposure, supported by multiple call purchases, a bullish call spread, and put selling, which together suggest traders are positioning for further appreciation in PLTR while often using defined-risk structures or premium-collecting tactics rather than purely speculative all-in bets. Although there was some bearish activity, including call selling and the bear call spread, the broader pattern points to constructive expectations for the stock, with institutional-sized traders appearing more inclined to position for upside than for a sustained decline.

Strategy Reference

Given the elevated IV percentile, premium-selling strategies appear attractive; a trader with a neutral-to-bullish outlook could consider selling the August 7, 2026 $105.00 put to collect rich premium with a lower probability of assignment, while the bull call spread used in the large trade serves as a template for those seeking defined-risk upside exposure without posting excessive margin.

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