Jefferies Initiates Coverage on Credo with Buy Rating, Citing Significant AI Opportunity Undervaluation

Stock News
04/14

Jefferies has commenced coverage on high-speed connectivity solutions provider Credo Technology (CRDO.US), issuing a Buy rating and setting a price target of $175. Credo's stock surged over 12% on Monday to $134.36, bringing its monthly gain to 43%. An analyst team led by Blayne Curtis at Jefferies stated, "We see an excellent opportunity to invest in a high-quality growth stock that is significantly undervalued. Furthermore, we identify a substantial disconnect between the market's perception of Credo's opportunity in artificial intelligence over the coming years and the actual potential." The Jefferies analysts believe Credo's Active Electrical Cables (AEC) will continue to play a vital role in data center construction. Curtis noted, "AEC has a clear path for sustained growth by integrating AI with general computing workloads. The ZF Optics products are crucial for product and revenue diversification. Concerns about the demise of copper cabling or the potential impact of Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) are significantly overstated, and the market has barely recognized the opportunity presented by the company's ALC (Active LED Cable) and OmniConnect products." It is reported that Credo's entry into the optical transceiver market with its ZeroFlap Optics product line presents a revenue opportunity exceeding $300 million annually. Curtis added, "Our estimates indicate Oracle's total transmission-related expenditure for fiscal year 2027 will be approximately $4.5 billion, with Credo's total addressable market amounting to $2.2 billion. We anticipate Credo can capture 10% of this $2.2 billion market, representing about 5% of Oracle's total transmission spend, which implies ZF Optics revenue of $225 million. We expect additional revenue exceeding $75 million from new customers, including NeoClouds and at least one hyperscale data center operator. Company management has also indicated they are currently undergoing qualification processes." Credo's stock price retreated from a high of $187 late last year, partly due to market concerns about CPO's impact on its business. Curtis commented, "Recent intense investor interest in CPO is largely related to Nvidia's Scale-Up Optical technology roadmap presented at GTC. In our view, whether Scale-Out or Scale-Up CPO solutions, they currently pose essentially no impact on Credo's business."

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