J.P. Morgan: Alibaba-W (09988) and Ant Group's Purchase of One Island East Supports Hong Kong Office Capitalization Rate Stability

Stock News
10/20

According to reports, J.P. Morgan stated that Hong Kong recently witnessed its largest office sale in years, with the Mandarin Oriental Hotel selling the top 13 floors of One Island East to Alibaba-W (09988) and Ant Group Co., Ltd. for HK$7.2 billion. The bank estimates a monthly rental rate of HK$65 per square foot for the property, calculating its capitalization rate at 3.3%, which is comparable to the average capitalization rates in Wanchai or Causeway Bay. J.P. Morgan believes that this significant transaction will help stabilize the capitalization rate of Hong Kong's office sector while also somewhat mitigating commercial real estate risks. However, the bank noted that this transaction would impact Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (01997), as Alibaba's lease at Times Square is set to expire in 2028, likely prompting the company to relocate. Furthermore, J.P. Morgan expects that more leading enterprises from mainland China may be interested in acquiring Hong Kong office properties as their regional or non-mainland headquarters. The bank concludes that a stabilized office capitalization rate in Hong Kong will benefit Hongkong Land and SWIREPROPERTIES (01972), two major developers in office leasing.

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