BitMine Outperforms ETH by 731 Basis Points in Bear Market: Inside the Buyback Strategy

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According to Woofun AI, BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR.US) demonstrated remarkable resilience in the first nine months of 2026, with its share price declining only 3%, while Ethereum (ETH) fell 10% over the same period, creating a performance gap of 731 basis points between the two.

Chairman Tom Lee attributed this relative advantage to the company's aggressive capital operations, particularly its large-scale share buyback program, a strategy that proved especially critical in the bear market environment. Despite holding substantial cryptocurrency assets, BitMine buffered downward market pressure through financial measures, establishing a unique positioning between traditional tech stocks and crypto-native assets. This structural advantage became the core logic behind its relatively firm share price.

At the execution level, Tom Lee detailed the company's dual strategy in his weekly update on October 5.

On one hand, BitMine implemented the largest share buyback in its history, repurchasing 21 million shares in 2026 alone, directly supporting its stock performance.

On the other hand, the company continued to accumulate its underlying assets, adding 15,112 Ethereum tokens in the week ending October 4, bringing its total holdings to approximately 6.02 million tokens, representing 4.9% of Ethereum's total supply.

Data compiled by Woofun AI shows that this "buyback plus accumulation" model is not unique in the industry, but BitMine's scale effect is more pronounced.

In a horizontal comparison, Yahoo Finance data indicates that other large crypto asset management companies have shown similar trends: Strategy (MSTR.US) shares rose 0.8% even as Bitcoin (BTC) declined; Forward Industries shares climbed 18% against the trend while Solana (SOL) prices fell; and another Ethereum asset management company, SharpLink (SBET.US), saw its shares rise 3.8% over the same period, even outperforming BitMine.

This suggests that hedging token price volatility through balance sheet operations has become a consensus strategy among leading institutions, but BitMine achieved a lead in relative returns through more aggressive buyback efforts.

However, behind the impressive share price performance lies enormous financial pressure.

Data released by Artemis on October 6 shows that BitMine's Ethereum holdings face up to $3.6 billion in unrealized losses, the largest loss in its asset management record.

As of press time, Ethereum was trading at $2,703.67, down 1.07% within 24 hours, and approximately 45% below its peak of $4,946.05 on August 24, 2025.

According to Artemis calculations, BitMine's average cost for its Ethereum holdings is approximately $3,300 per token, meaning the current price is still about 22% away from the break-even level. Even if Citibank (C.US) predicts Ethereum will reach $3,028 in 12 months — roughly 12% upside from current levels — BitMine's asset portfolio will remain in a loss position in the near term.

Nevertheless, looking back at the third quarter, BitMine's share price rebounded approximately 99%, while Ethereum gained 71%, demonstrating the company's elasticity advantage when market sentiment recovered.

The fourth quarter will be a critical testing period, verifying whether the "strongest bull market cycle in history" that Tom Lee anticipates will truly materialize, and whether this relative advantage can be sustained over a longer time horizon.

Looking ahead, BitMine's strategic focus remains on closing its allocation gap.

Currently, the company is approximately 88,600 Ethereum tokens short of its target 5% asset allocation ratio. This figure is not only a financial goal but also an anchor for its long-term strategy.

Whether the company will continue its weekly purchasing operations to bridge this gap will directly determine the extent of liquidity support it provides to the Ethereum market, which in turn affects the linkage between its share price and token price.

Investors should closely monitor BitMine's latest updates on the X platform and YouTube channel, as these channels will serve as key windows for interpreting its future action guidance.

As the market enters a period of turbulence, whether BitMine can complete its accumulation target while maintaining its buyback intensity will be the core metric for measuring its strategic execution capability.

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