Huachuang Securities Maintains "Recommend" Rating for CICC (03908) with Target Price of HK$26.15

Stock News
11/03

Huachuang Securities released a research report stating that CICC (03908) maintains relatively high leverage but demonstrates strong business capabilities, with promising development opportunities amid industry supply-side reforms. Considering the sustained upward market sentiment and low interest rates, alongside the company's consistently outperforming net profits, the firm has raised its earnings forecasts. CICC's projected EPS for 2025/2026/2027 is RMB 1.87/1.97/2.13, with current P/E ratios of 10.6x/10.1x/9.3x. Based on historical valuations and current market conditions, Huachuang assigns a 1.1x PB multiple to 2026 earnings, setting a target price of HK$26.15 and maintaining a "Recommend" rating.

Key takeaways from Huachuang Securities include: - CICC reported Q3 2025 revenue (excluding other business income) of RMB 20.7 billion, up 54.5% YoY, and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 6.57 billion, surging 129.8% YoY. - ROE improved significantly to 5.7% (+3.1pct YoY), supported by lower funding costs amid low market interest rates. - Financial leverage (excluding client funds) rose to 5.08x (+0.39x YoY), while asset turnover reached 3.5% (+0.9pct YoY) and net profit margin climbed to 31.7% (+10.4pct YoY). - Total assets (ex-client funds) stood at RMB 587.3 billion (+RMB 76.43 billion YoY), with net assets at RMB 115.5 billion (+RMB 6.69 billion YoY). - Proprietary trading delivered better-than-expected results, generating RMB 10.97 billion in income despite bond yield pressures, with equity exposure increasing to 46.5% of net capital. - Brokerage income grew 135.5% YoY to RMB 4.52 billion, though commission rates faced downward pressure from high-volume/low-fee trades. - Investment banking revenue edged up to RMB 2.94 billion (+RMB 490 million YoY), while asset management reached RMB 1.06 billion (+RMB 100 million YoY). - Regulatory metrics remained healthy: risk coverage ratio at 196% (vs. 120% warning line), net stable funding ratio at 139%, and capital leverage ratio at 12.1% (above the 9.6% threshold).

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