Citi Initiates Lens Technology (06613.HK) with Buy Rating; Sets HK$26 Target

Stock Track
2025/07/16

Citi has commenced coverage on Lens Technology's Hong Kong-listed shares (06613.HK), assigning a "Buy" rating alongside a HK$26 price target derived from 19.3 times projected 2026 earnings. Simultaneously, the investment bank raised its target for the Shenzhen-traded A-shares (300433.SZ) from RMB25 to RMB32, maintaining a 25.7x P/E multiple but shifting to 2026 EPS forecasts amid heightened visibility on foldable smartphone upgrades. Financial model refinements left 2025-2027 net profit projections largely intact, with near-term valuation preferences favoring H-shares over their A-share counterparts.

The brokerage updated Android shipment estimates and assembly business assumptions, offset by stronger interest income projections. Lens Technology's Hong Kong listing is viewed positively for unlocking capital to fuel R&D initiatives and overseas capacity expansion while broadening institutional investor reach. Citi reiterated the company's pivotal role in Apple's anticipated 2026 foldable iPhone launch, projecting over $50 per-device glass value accretion through proprietary Ultra-Thin Glass (UTG), PET materials, and glass bracket technologies. This innovation pipeline could contribute 5% and 12% to 2026 and 2027 revenues respectively.

Additional growth catalysts include ultra-hard front cover coatings, premium back cover materials for slim models, and expanded metal frame orders for late-2025 iPhones. Near-term earnings through mid-2025 should benefit from iPhone restocking demand amid tariff-driven supply chain realignments. Non-Apple segments promise substantial upside too: Xiaomi Group's (01810.HK) premium device strategy bolsters assembly operations alongside emerging laptop opportunities and smart payment terminal development. While AI-powered eyewear and humanoid robotics remain nascent ventures, their long-term potential appears promising according to Citi's analysis.

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