Should Income Investors Look At United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Before Its Ex-Dividend?

Simply Wall St.
2021-08-16

United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. In other words, investors can purchase United Parcel Service's shares before the 20th of August in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 9th of September.

The company's next dividend payment will be US$1.02 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of US$4.08 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, United Parcel Service stock has a trailing yield of around 2.1% on the current share price of $193.98. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

See our latest analysis for United Parcel Service

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. United Parcel Service paid out 58% of its earnings to investors last year, a normal payout level for most businesses. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether United Parcel Service generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Fortunately, it paid out only 43% of its free cash flow in the past year.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

NYSE:UPS Historic Dividend August 16th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. This is why it's a relief to see United Parcel Service earnings per share are up 5.3% per annum over the last five years. Decent historical earnings per share growth suggests United Parcel Service has been effectively growing value for shareholders. However, it's now paying out more than half its earnings as dividends. If management lifts the payout ratio further, we'd take this as a tacit signal that the company's growth prospects are slowing.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the past 10 years, United Parcel Service has increased its dividend at approximately 8.1% a year on average. It's encouraging to see the company lifting dividends while earnings are growing, suggesting at least some corporate interest in rewarding shareholders.

Final Takeaway

Is United Parcel Service worth buying for its dividend? While earnings per share growth has been modest, United Parcel Service's dividend payouts are around an average level; without a sharp change in earnings we feel that the dividend is likely somewhat sustainable. Pleasingly the company paid out a conservatively low percentage of its free cash flow. In summary, while it has some positive characteristics, we're not inclined to race out and buy United Parcel Service today.

In light of that, while United Parcel Service has an appealing dividend, it's worth knowing the risks involved with this stock. Be aware that United Parcel Service is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

We wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here's a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

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