The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Cooper Energy Limited (ASX:COE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Cooper Energy
As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Cooper Energy had AU$204.9m of debt, up from AU$144.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had AU$102.4m in cash, and so its net debt is AU$102.6m.
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cooper Energy had liabilities of AU$257.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$651.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$102.4m as well as receivables valued at AU$23.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$782.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of AU$528.0m, we think shareholders really should watch Cooper Energy's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cooper Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Cooper Energy made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to AU$202m, which is a fall of 4.6%. We would much prefer see growth.
Over the last twelve months Cooper Energy produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$169m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through AU$41m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Cooper Energy that you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Find out whether Cooper Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
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