Earnings Beat: ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Simply Wall St.
2024-11-15

It's been a mediocre week for ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:ZI) shareholders, with the stock dropping 10% to US$10.58 in the week since its latest quarterly results. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of US$304m were what the analysts expected, ZoomInfo Technologies surprised by delivering a (statutory) profit of US$0.07 per share, an impressive 49% above what was forecast. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on ZoomInfo Technologies after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for ZoomInfo Technologies

NasdaqGS:ZI Earnings and Revenue Growth November 15th 2024

Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from 23 analysts covering ZoomInfo Technologies is for revenues of US$1.19b in 2025. This implies a measurable 2.3% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 1,307% to US$0.37. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$1.21b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.38 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at US$11.74, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on ZoomInfo Technologies, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$17.24 and the most bearish at US$7.00 per share. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 1.8% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 29% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 11% per year. It's pretty clear that ZoomInfo Technologies' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that ZoomInfo Technologies' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple ZoomInfo Technologies analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with ZoomInfo Technologies .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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