BUZZ-Barclays says soft industrial demand to weigh on European capital goods in 2025

Reuters
2024-12-04
BUZZ-Barclays says soft industrial demand to weigh on European capital goods in 2025

** Barclays expects 2025 to be another year of soft industrial demand, with sales in European capital goods expected to grow by about 3%, below historical averages of 5-6%

** It sees growth potential for electrification, marine and gold mining, while predicting struggles for other industrials due to moderate GDP growth, fading price benefits, high inventory levels and trade tensions

** It forecasts average 2025 EBIT 5% below consensus estimates for the sector

** It adds increased trade tensions increase risks to the sector making more than a half of its sales in Europe and China

** In this environment, Barclays says it is "overweight" on companies that show a combination of strong market growth, solid business models and reasonable valuations

** It is less confident in stocks with overly optimistic market expectations or those facing incremental business model challenges in 2025

RATING CHANGES:

COMPANY

RATING

OLD RATING

PT

OLD PT

Epiroc EPIRa.ST

overweight

underweight

SEK 205

SEK 170

Spirax Group SPX.L

overweight

equal weight

8,350p

7,750p

Schindler Holding SCHP.S

overweight

equal weight

CHF 258

CHF 230

Ariston ARIS.MI

equal weight

overweight

EUR 3.81

EUR 5

Signify LIGHT.AS

underweight

overweight

EUR 18

EUR 29

Andritz ANDR.VI

underweight

equal weight

EUR 40

EUR 50

(Reporting by Vera Dvorakova)

((vera.dvorakova@thomsonreuters.com))

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