With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.3x Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:SCCO) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Southern Copper's and the market's earnings growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Southern Copper
Southern Copper's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.8% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 4.0% overall drop in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 7.1% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Southern Copper is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Southern Copper currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Southern Copper that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Southern Copper. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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