Cochlear Limited's (ASX:COH) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to A$2.15 on 14th of April. This takes the annual payment to 1.6% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Cochlear
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. At the time of the last dividend payment, Cochlear was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 112% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 50.8%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 52% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was A$2.54, compared to the most recent full-year payment of A$4.30. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 5.4% per annum over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Unfortunately, Cochlear's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. Earnings are not growing quickly at all, and the company is paying out most of its profit as dividends. That's fine as far as it goes, but we're less enthusiastic as this often signals that the dividend is likely to grow slower in the future.
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Cochlear will make a great income stock. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 15 analysts we track are forecasting for Cochlear for free with public analyst estimates for the company. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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