Societe Generale's overnight economic news summary pointed out:
-- Euro Stoxx futures -1.1%, S&P narrowly avoided close below 200dma (5730). Euro bid, Bund yield off highs after European Central Bank "meaningfully less restrictive". Market short US dollar, long duration ahead of nonfarm payrolls/ Federal Reserve Chair Powell. 10-year United States Treasury support 4.24%/4.10%.
-- Day ahead: U.S. NFP, SocGen forecasts: 180,000 gain, consensus range 30,000-300,000, whisper 120,000, unemployment rate is forecast by SocGen at 4.0%, average earnings: up 0.3% month over month. Federal Reserve's Powell, Bowman, Williams, and Kugler. ECB's Lagarde, Nagel, Panetta, Centeno and Kazaks. Canada's employment (LFS). Chile and Mexico consumer price index. Brazil's gross domestic product.
-- European Union Re-Arm Council summit statement: escape clause of SGP to increase defense spending without triggering EDP, provision of 150 billion euros of loans for defense investment, incentives for use of cohesion policy programmes.
-- China's trade surplus widens to $170.5 billion in January-February versus $147.5 billion consensus exports +2.3% year over year to record $540 billion, imports -8.4%.
-- Nikkei -2.1%, EUR 10-year IRS +1.5bps at 2.675%, Brent crude +0.5% at $69.8/barrel, Gold -0.1% at $2,913/oz.
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