Indivior PLC Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Simply Wall St.
04-28

Indivior PLC (LON:INDV) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. Indivior delivered a significant beat to revenue and earnings per share (EPS) expectations, hitting US$266m-11% above indicated-andUS$0.38-77% above forecasts- respectively This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Indivior after the latest results.

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LSE:INDV Earnings and Revenue Growth April 28th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus, from the seven analysts covering Indivior, is for revenues of US$1.03b in 2025. This implies a not inconsiderable 12% reduction in Indivior's revenue over the past 12 months. Indivior is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$1.07 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$1.02b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.00 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Indivior

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of UK£10.82, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Indivior, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at UK£12.15 and the most bearish at UK£9.28 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Indivior is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 15% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 14% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 4.9% per year. It's pretty clear that Indivior's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Indivior's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Indivior's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Indivior. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Indivior going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Indivior (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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