花旗：OPEC+增产或拖累油价跌至50美元出头或更低水平

环球市场播报

昨天

　　“若OPEC+决定进一步增产，布伦特原油价格可能重新跌至每桶50美元出头甚至更低水平，”花旗的Anthony Yuen等分析师在报告中写道。

　　该行表示，其对布伦特原油的每桶60美元短期预测已达到，可能很快跌入50多美元的范围。

　　该行还表示：

　　如果OPEC+选择不将产量提高到高于此前宣布的水平，油价将出现反弹。

　　OPEC+的增产可能受到推动内部履约、地缘政治动机或部分成员国反对产量上限的驱动。

　　要求履约方面的压力提高了部分国家退出该联盟的风险，如安哥拉在2023年那样。

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