Release Date: May 01, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Q: How has order volatility changed over the last couple of quarters, and what do customers need to see for more stable order patterns? A: Guillermo Novo, Ashland Inc's CEO, noted that the most significant volatility occurred in Q3 and Q4 of the previous year, particularly due to dynamics in China. Recently, things have stabilized, with volumes picking up and pricing aligning with full-year guidance. The current focus is on managing sentiment in certain markets, particularly in the US and Europe, where demand has been softer than expected.
Q: Regarding the $70 million of US-produced China sales, how much of the risk can be mitigated by the fourth quarter? A: Guillermo Novo explained that Ashland has inventory in China and is working with customers to mitigate risks. The company can manage short-term challenges, particularly with unique products like Klucel, which are difficult for customers to reformulate. While VP&D is more exposed, Ashland is exploring options to shift production and optimize its supply chain.
Q: How are tariffs impacting Ashland's supply chains in regions like Europe, Canada, and Mexico? A: Guillermo Novo stated that outside of China, the impact is minimal as most raw materials are sourced regionally. The company is monitoring Europe closely, as it is a significant manufacturing location. John Willis, CFO, added that Ashland maintains a lot of finished goods inventory in Europe, which would delay any tariff impact.
Q: Have you seen any slowing of competitive pressure in the Specialty Additives segment in China, and is there equilibrium in supply-demand? A: Guillermo Novo and Dago Caceres, General Manager of Specialty Additives, noted that China is stable at the bottom, with no further decline in volumes or prices. Europe is flattish, with a focus on quality and sustainability, while the US market is characterized by uncertainty. Other regions like India are growing, but pricing pressure continues.
Q: What are Ashland's cash flow expectations for the year, given the negative cash flow from operations in the first half? A: John Willis explained that cash flow will depend on several factors, including EBITDA performance, working capital, FX impacts, and restructuring costs. While there is uncertainty, free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $150 million to $200 million, assuming stability in these areas.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
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