Engine manufacturer Cummins (NYSE:CMI) reported Q1 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations , but sales fell by 2.7% year on year to $8.17 billion. Its GAAP profit of $5.96 per share was 23% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
Is now the time to buy Cummins? Find out in our full research report.
“The company delivered strong financial results in the first quarter of 2025 led by record performance in our Power Systems Segment,” said Jennifer Rumsey, Chair and CEO.
With more than half of the heavy-duty truck market using its engines at one point, Cummins (NYSE:CMI) offers engines and power systems.
Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Thankfully, Cummins’s 8.5% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was decent. Its growth was slightly above the average industrials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.
We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Cummins’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 6% over the last two years was below its five-year trend.
We can better understand the company’s revenue dynamics by analyzing its most important segments, Components and Engine , which are 33% and 34.3% of revenue. Over the last two years, Cummins’s Components revenue (axles, brakes, drivelines) averaged 3.4% year-on-year growth while its Engine revenue (diesel and gas-powered engines) averaged 1.9% growth.
This quarter, Cummins’s revenue fell by 2.7% year on year to $8.17 billion but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 0.6%.
Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. This projection doesn't excite us and implies its products and services will face some demand challenges.
Here at StockStory, we certainly understand the potential of thematic investing. Diverse winners from Microsoft (MSFT) to Alphabet (GOOG), Coca-Cola (KO) to Monster Beverage (MNST) could all have been identified as promising growth stories with a megatrend driving the growth. So, in that spirit, we’ve identified a relatively under-the-radar profitable growth stock benefiting from the rise of AI, available to you FREE via this link.
Cummins has done a decent job managing its cost base over the last five years. The company has produced an average operating margin of 9.7%, higher than the broader industrials sector.
Looking at the trend in its profitability, Cummins’s operating margin might fluctuated slightly but has generally stayed the same over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.
In Q1, Cummins generated an operating profit margin of 13.9%, up 2.9 percentage points year on year. The increase was encouraging, and because its operating margin rose more than its gross margin, we can infer it was more efficient with expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead.
Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.
Cummins’s decent 8.1% annual EPS growth over the last five years aligns with its revenue performance. This tells us it maintained its per-share profitability as it expanded.
Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.
For Cummins, its two-year annual EPS growth of 6.4% was lower than its five-year trend. We hope its growth can accelerate in the future.
In Q1, Cummins reported EPS at $5.96, down from $14.03 in the same quarter last year. Despite falling year on year, this print easily cleared analysts’ estimates. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Cummins’s full-year EPS of $20.10 to shrink by 3.8%.
We were impressed by how significantly Cummins blew past analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also glad its revenue and EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. Zooming out, we think this quarter featured some important positives. The stock remained flat at $298 immediately after reporting.
So do we think Cummins is an attractive buy at the current price? What happened in the latest quarter matters, but not as much as longer-term business quality and valuation, when deciding whether to invest in this stock. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.
免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。