When close to half the companies in New Zealand have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider AFT Pharmaceuticals Limited (NZSE:AFT) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 24.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
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While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, AFT Pharmaceuticals' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for AFT Pharmaceuticals
AFT Pharmaceuticals' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 23%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 40% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 31% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 17% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that AFT Pharmaceuticals' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that AFT Pharmaceuticals maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for AFT Pharmaceuticals with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of AFT Pharmaceuticals' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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