Morgan Stanley Revises Up China Growth Forecast -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

2025/07/16

1026 GMT - Morgan Stanley upgrades its forecast for China GDP growth this year by 30 basis points to 4.8%, after the world's second-largest economy reported a 5.3% expansion in 1H. But the investment bank still expects growth to slow in 2H due to weaker exports after front-loaded shipments earlier this year. MS projects export growth to slow from 6% in 1H to around 0% in 2H, resulting in a 60bp-70bp drag on 2H GDP growth. (singaporeeditors@dowjones.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 16, 2025 06:26 ET (10:26 GMT)

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But the investment bank still expects growth to slow in 2H due to weaker exports after front-loaded shipments earlier this year. MS projects export growth to slow from 6% in 1H to around 0% in 2H, resulting in a 60bp-70bp drag on 2H GDP growth. (singaporeeditors@dowjones.com) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  July 16, 2025 06:26 ET (10:26 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0320765646.SGD","symbol_name":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2551142374","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2551142374","pubTimestamp":1752661560,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"1026 GMT - Morgan Stanley upgrades its forecast for China GDP growth this year by 30 basis points to 4.8%, after the world's second-largest economy reported a 5.3% expansion in 1H. But the investment bank still expects growth to slow in 2H due to weaker exports after front-loaded shipments earlier this year. MS projects export growth to slow from 6% in 1H to around 0% in 2H, resulting in a 60bp-70bp drag on 2H GDP growth. 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