There wouldn't be many who think Elders Limited's (ASX:ELD) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Australia is similar at about 19x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
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Elders could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Check out our latest analysis for Elders
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Elders' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 68% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Elders is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Elders currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Elders (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Discover if Elders might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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