EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX steady, stocks jump as markets absorb more US trade deals

Reuters
2025/07/23
EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX steady, stocks jump as markets absorb more US trade deals

US agrees trade pacts with Japan, Philippines

Brazil to ease total spending curbs

America Movil swings to profit in second quarter

MSCI Latam FX up 0.2%, stocks up 1%

By Purvi Agarwal

July 23 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies were mixed in choppy trading while stocks advanced on Wednesday as investors assessed more U.S. trade deals and whether the most severe of President Donald Trump's tariffs could be avoided.

On Tuesday, the U.S. signed a deal with Japan to lower hefty import duties on Japanese imports and secured a $550 billion package of U.S.-bound investment and loans from Tokyo.

Trump also announced a new 19% tariff rate for both the Philippines and Indonesia, lower than the rate threatened earlier this month, sending local equities soaring.

Markets have shown resilience in the face of sweeping U.S. duties, in hopes of more trade deals that could mitigate them ahead of Trump's August 1 deadline. However, little progress before the Japan and Philippines deals had left investors uncertain over how the tariffs would be implemented.

The fresh trade optimism spread to EMs globally, with MSCI's global EM stocks gauge .MSCIEF trading near levels last seen in January 2022.

Stocks in Latin America were also broadly higher, with heavyweight Brazilian ones .BVSP gaining 0.6%, while ones in Colombia .COLCAP were up 0.1%.

Mexico's America Movil AMXB.MX and Banorte GFNORTEO.MX added 3% each, after their upbeat quarterly results. The telecoms giant and the lender boosted Mexican stocks .MXX, which gained 1%, outperforming peers.

The index tracking regional stocks .MILA00000PUS was up 1%, set for its biggest one-day gain since late June. Meanwhile, the measure of Latam currencies .MILA00000CUS was up 0.2%.

Investors in Latam refrained from placing big bets on currencies as they digested the deals.

"The uncertainty has not fully gone away. Overall (the deals) give mixed signals because no matter what, tariffs are always going to be able to be brought back as a negotiating tool," said Juan Perez, head of trading at Monex USA.

Perez said markets were wondering how long the tariffs would remain low for Japan as they "came out of nowhere" and the ever-changing narrative on tariffs was making investors hesitant.

Most currencies were little changed in choppy trading except for the Mexican peso MXN=, which firmed 0.4% against the dollar.

The Brazilian real BRL= strengthened slightly after the government eased the total spending curbs previously deemed necessary to comply with fiscal rules, and raised its net revenue forecast by 27.1 billion reais ($4.87 billion) this year, according to its latest revenue and expenditure report.

President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's administration has been trying to incorporate fiscal discipline ever since investors sold off Brazilian assets last year, making the real one of the worst performers in 2024.

Markets in Peru were closed for a public holiday.

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:

Latin American market prices from Reuters

Equities

Latest

Daily % change

MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF

1265.72

1.42

MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS

2266.47

1.04

Brazil Bovespa .BVSP

134812.93

0.58

Mexico IPC .MXX

56091.59

1.03

Chile IPSA .SPIPSA

8102.79

-0.2

Argentina Merval .MERV

2027286.04

0.84

Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP

1728.97

0.08

Currencies

Latest

Daily % change

Brazil real BRL=

5.5584

0.12

Mexico peso MXN=

18.569

0.4

Chile peso CLP=

948

0.09

Colombia peso COP=

4052.32

0.16

Peru sol PEN=

-

-

Argentina peso (interbank) ARS=RASL

1258

1.35

Argentina peso (parallel) ARSB=

1295

0

(Reporting by Purvi Agarwal in Bengaluru; editing by Mark Heinrich)

((Purvi.Agarwal@thomsonreuters.com;))

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