If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating China Communications Construction (HKG:1800), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
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For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on China Communications Construction is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.036 = CN¥37b ÷ (CN¥1.9t - CN¥890b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Therefore, China Communications Construction has an ROCE of 3.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Construction industry average of 5.6%.
View our latest analysis for China Communications Construction
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Communications Construction compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for China Communications Construction .
When we looked at the ROCE trend at China Communications Construction, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.6% from 4.6% five years ago. However it looks like China Communications Construction might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
Another thing to note, China Communications Construction has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 46%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
In summary, China Communications Construction is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Since the stock has gained an impressive 84% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you want to know some of the risks facing China Communications Construction we've found 2 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
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