What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think International Housewares Retail (HKG:1373) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
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For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on International Housewares Retail is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = HK$117m ÷ (HK$1.7b - HK$529m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to October 2024).
Therefore, International Housewares Retail has an ROCE of 10%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Specialty Retail industry average of 8.8%.
View our latest analysis for International Housewares Retail
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for International Housewares Retail's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how International Housewares Retail has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of International Housewares Retail's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
In terms of International Housewares Retail's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 17% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, International Housewares Retail has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 32% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by International Housewares Retail's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 30% in the last five years. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for International Housewares Retail (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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