Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. So after glancing at the trends within Huadian Power International (HKG:1071), we weren't too hopeful.
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For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Huadian Power International, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.051 = CN¥7.9b ÷ (CN¥220b - CN¥65b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Thus, Huadian Power International has an ROCE of 5.1%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 6.2% average generated by the Renewable Energy industry.
See our latest analysis for Huadian Power International
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Huadian Power International compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Huadian Power International .
In terms of Huadian Power International's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 6.6%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Huadian Power International becoming one if things continue as they have.
In summary, it's unfortunate that Huadian Power International is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Since the stock has skyrocketed 161% over the last five years, it looks like investors have high expectations of the stock. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
Huadian Power International does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
While Huadian Power International isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Discover if Huadian Power International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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