Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that PENN Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:PENN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
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Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that PENN Entertainment had debt of US$2.62b at the end of March 2025, a reduction from US$2.77b over a year. However, it also had US$591.6m in cash, and so its net debt is US$2.03b.
According to the last reported balance sheet, PENN Entertainment had liabilities of US$1.37b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$10.7b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$591.6m and US$253.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$11.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$2.65b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, PENN Entertainment would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
Check out our latest analysis for PENN Entertainment
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While we wouldn't worry about PENN Entertainment's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.1, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.51 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that PENN Entertainment grew its EBIT a smooth 40% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PENN Entertainment's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, PENN Entertainment reported free cash flow worth 17% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
On the face of it, PENN Entertainment's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that PENN Entertainment's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. In light of our reservations about the company's balance sheet, it seems sensible to check if insiders have been selling shares recently.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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