When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 13x, you may consider COSCO SHIPPING Development Co., Ltd. (HKG:2866) as an attractive investment with its 8.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
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The earnings growth achieved at COSCO SHIPPING Development over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Development
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as COSCO SHIPPING Development's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 75% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 19% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that COSCO SHIPPING Development is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of COSCO SHIPPING Development revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for COSCO SHIPPING Development (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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