高盛维持布油价格预期不变但指出需求存在下行风险

格隆汇APP

08/04

格隆汇8月4日｜高盛周日重申了其对布伦特原油价格的预测，预计2025年第四季度平均每桶64美元，2026年平均每桶56美元，但预计近期事态发展将使其基线预测的风险范围越来越大。该投行称：“俄罗斯和伊朗受到制裁的石油供应压力加大，对我们的价格预测构成上行风险，特别是考虑到闲置产能的正常化速度快于预期。”然而，高盛指出，由于美国关税税率上调、额外二级关税的威胁以及美国经济活动数据疲弱，其2025-2026年日均需求增长预估存在下行风险。高盛还表示：“虽然欧佩克+的政策仍然灵活，但我们认为该组织将在9月后保持其生产配额不变，因为我们预计经合组织商业库存的增加速度将加快，季节性需求的顺风将消退。”

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href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2025-08-04/doc-infiuqeh8889562.shtml><strong>格隆汇APP</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇8月4日｜高盛周日重申了其对布伦特原油价格的预测，预计2025年第四季度平均每桶64美元，2026年平均每桶56美元，但预计近期事态发展将使其基线预测的风险范围越来越大。该投行称：“俄罗斯和伊朗受到制裁的石油供应压力加大，对我们的价格预测构成上行风险，特别是考虑到闲置产能的正常化速度快于预期。”然而，高盛指出，由于美国关税税率上调、额外二级关税的威胁以及美国经济活动数据疲弱，其2025-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/bxjj/2025-08-04/doc-infiuqeh8889562.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU2750360641.GBP","symbol_name":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) 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