Ricegrowers Limited (ASX:SGLLV) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 55% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Ricegrowers may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13x, since almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 37x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
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Recent earnings growth for Ricegrowers has been in line with the market. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this modest earnings performance may begin to slide. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Ricegrowers
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Ricegrowers' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.6% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 32% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.1% per year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Ricegrowers is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
Ricegrowers' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Ricegrowers maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Ricegrowers has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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