COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited's (HKG:1199) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 12x and even P/E's above 26x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
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While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, COSCO SHIPPING Ports' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Ports
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like COSCO SHIPPING Ports' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.2% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 21% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 1.9% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that COSCO SHIPPING Ports' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that COSCO SHIPPING Ports maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for COSCO SHIPPING Ports that you should be aware of.
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