With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Ryvyl Inc. (NASDAQ:RVYL) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Diversified Financial companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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Check out our latest analysis for Ryvyl
For example, consider that Ryvyl's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ryvyl's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Ryvyl's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.6%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 86% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 5.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it odd that Ryvyl is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We're very surprised to see Ryvyl currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Ryvyl that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Ryvyl's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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